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Statistical methods have recorded, tracked, and predicted the spread of infectious diseases (ids) for centuries

First widely noted in the seventeenth century, case frequency and mortality data were posted outside of villages to notify travelers of their risk of entry into the village. First, a new and straightforward statistical methodology is proposed to model epidemic curves. Our model therefore applies to any country (or a subsection thereof) and similarly applies to any population size. The clinical data of the patients were collected, and the.